Hong Kong shares gain for 6th straight day, China inches higher
* Stiff resistance on charts seen ahead for HSI* Mainland property surge, Evergrande lead gains* Signs of bearish trend bottoming out in ShanghaiBy Clement TanSHANGHAI, Oct 13 (Reuters) - Hong Kong shares finished
stronger for a sixth-straight session on Thursday, led by
mainland property developers on optimism they would benefit from
measures that Beijing announced on Wednesday to expand financing
support for small businesses.Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd surged 16.5
percent after it said its property sales in September jumped
79.4 percent from a year earlier, becoming the latest in a slew
of Chinese developers to report strong growth in 2011 contract
sales despite Beijing’s efforts to cool the property
market.But not every one was so upbeat on property.Du Jinsong, Credit Suisse’s property analyst, thinks the
market may have misread Beijing’s Wednesday move. On the overall
Chinese property sector, the market’s view is “too optimistic,
with more downside risks ahead,” he said.On Tuesday, Credit Suisse issued a report co-authored by Du
which warned that an expected property price decline in China
will trigger a book value write-down for listed developers, in
turn leading to falls in their share-prices.Full data was not available at market close on Thursday, but
short-selling has stayed consistently above 10 percent for
mainland property names this week despite gains, suggesting some
investors remain bearish.The Hang Seng Index closed up 2.3 percent at 18,757.8
points. It has gained more than 15 percent since hitting a
29-month low on Oct. 4. The China Enterprises Index
outperformed on Thursday, jumping 3.7 percent.Mainland property developers played a big part in Thursday’s
gains, with China Resources Land , which lost more than
33 percent in September, surging 12 percent, making it the
second-top percentage gainer among Hang Seng components.Fears of a hard landing for the Chinese economy have hit
mainland property and financial stocks hardest as longer-term
investors liquidated positions and as short-selling spiked.
Evergrande lost almost half of its market capitalisation in
September alone.Thursday’s gains brought the Hang Seng Index to the top of a
downside gap that opened up between the low of Sept. 21, at
18,698.9, and the high on Sept 22, at 18,296.8, one of several
that opened up after losses topped 14 percent last month,
pointing to formidable resistance ahead.Near-term resistance is next seen at the May 2010 low at
about 18,971 and the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the
benchmark rise from 2008 lows to its cyclical peak in 2010, at
about 19,557.MATERIALS SUPPORT SHANGHAI GAINSThe Shanghai Composite Index extended its two-day
winning streak, closing up 0.8 percent at 2,438.8. Materials led
gains as funds trickled back into the market, pushing A-share
turnover to its second-highest since Aug. 26.There were suggestions in the market that the high turnover
and heavy interest in a highly growth-sensitive sector such as
materials stemmed from some investors anticipating a loosening
of monetary policy after more financing support were announced
late on Wednesday.With the Shanghai benchmark’s 3 percent climb on Wednesday
entirely enveloping Tuesday’s uptick on the charts in a down
trend and in strong volume, there are strong suggestions that
bearishness could be bottoming out on the Shanghai benchmark.On Thursday, Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd rose 5.8
percent, while Aluminium Corp of China Ltd (Chalco)
and Baoshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd gained 1.3 and 1.1
percent respectively.Anhui Conch lost more than 22.5 percent in September, its
worst month since the 2008 financial crisis, compared with an 8
percent decline on the Shanghai Composite Index.Funds have been gradually returning to mainland markets,
taking the cue from Central Huijin, the domestic investment arm
of the country’s sovereign wealth fund, which was reported on
Monday to be raising its stakes in the “Big Four” Chinese banks
over the next 12 months.Several analysts said investors saw Huijin’s move not only
as an affirmation of the value of banking stocks but also a
boost to sentiment, showing the government would provide hefty
support to the market.
Hong Kong shares gain for 6th straight day, China inches higher
* Stiff resistance on charts seen ahead for HSI* Mainland property surge, Evergrande lead gains* Signs of bearish trend bottoming out in ShanghaiBy Clement TanSHANGHAI, Oct 13 (Reuters) - Hong Kong shares finished
stronger for a sixth-straight session on Thursday, led by
mainland property developers on optimism they would benefit from
measures that Beijing announced on Wednesday to expand financing
support for small businesses.Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd surged 16.5
percent after it said its property sales in September jumped
79.4 percent from a year earlier, becoming the latest in a slew
of Chinese developers to report strong growth in 2011 contract
sales despite Beijing’s efforts to cool the property
market.But not every one was so upbeat on property.Du Jinsong, Credit Suisse’s property analyst, thinks the
market may have misread Beijing’s Wednesday move. On the overall
Chinese property sector, the market’s view is “too optimistic,
with more downside risks ahead,” he said.On Tuesday, Credit Suisse issued a report co-authored by Du
which warned that an expected property price decline in China
will trigger a book value write-down for listed developers, in
turn leading to falls in their share-prices.Full data was not available at market close on Thursday, but
short-selling has stayed consistently above 10 percent for
mainland property names this week despite gains, suggesting some
investors remain bearish.The Hang Seng Index closed up 2.3 percent at 18,757.8
points. It has gained more than 15 percent since hitting a
29-month low on Oct. 4. The China Enterprises Index
outperformed on Thursday, jumping 3.7 percent.Mainland property developers played a big part in Thursday’s
gains, with China Resources Land , which lost more than
33 percent in September, surging 12 percent, making it the
second-top percentage gainer among Hang Seng components.Fears of a hard landing for the Chinese economy have hit
mainland property and financial stocks hardest as longer-term
investors liquidated positions and as short-selling spiked.
Evergrande lost almost half of its market capitalisation in
September alone.Thursday’s gains brought the Hang Seng Index to the top of a
downside gap that opened up between the low of Sept. 21, at
18,698.9, and the high on Sept 22, at 18,296.8, one of several
that opened up after losses topped 14 percent last month,
pointing to formidable resistance ahead.Near-term resistance is next seen at the May 2010 low at
about 18,971 and the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the
benchmark rise from 2008 lows to its cyclical peak in 2010, at
about 19,557.MATERIALS SUPPORT SHANGHAI GAINSThe Shanghai Composite Index extended its two-day
winning streak, closing up 0.8 percent at 2,438.8. Materials led
gains as funds trickled back into the market, pushing A-share
turnover to its second-highest since Aug. 26.There were suggestions in the market that the high turnover
and heavy interest in a highly growth-sensitive sector such as
materials stemmed from some investors anticipating a loosening
of monetary policy after more financing support were announced
late on Wednesday.With the Shanghai benchmark’s 3 percent climb on Wednesday
entirely enveloping Tuesday’s uptick on the charts in a down
trend and in strong volume, there are strong suggestions that
bearishness could be bottoming out on the Shanghai benchmark.On Thursday, Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd rose 5.8
percent, while Aluminium Corp of China Ltd (Chalco)
and Baoshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd gained 1.3 and 1.1
percent respectively.Anhui Conch lost more than 22.5 percent in September, its
worst month since the 2008 financial crisis, compared with an 8
percent decline on the Shanghai Composite Index.Funds have been gradually returning to mainland markets,
taking the cue from Central Huijin, the domestic investment arm
of the country’s sovereign wealth fund, which was reported on
Monday to be raising its stakes in the “Big Four” Chinese banks
over the next 12 months.Several analysts said investors saw Huijin’s move not only
as an affirmation of the value of banking stocks but also a
boost to sentiment, showing the government would provide hefty
support to the market.